Goldman Sachs cautions that oil prices could dip below $40 per barrel in extreme scenarios amid ongoing trade tensions.

The investment bank's economists, led by Jan Hatzius, now see a 45% chance of a US recession in the next twelve months, up from 35% last week. Prior to that call, Goldman had been at a 20% recession probability risk. Hatzius sees three factors driving his upgraded probability:

One economist told Channel 2’s Richard Elliot that a recession is inevitable. Georgia Tech economics professor Tibor Besedes specializes in international trade. He said the tariffs are based more on politics than on any economic theory and that the formula used by the White House to calculate them is fundamentally flawed.

Stan Druckenmiller and Bill Ackman are among those raising concerns about the president’s steep, across-the-globe levies.

President Donald Trump’s top economic advisers brushed off recession fears Sunday and said dozens of countries are looking to negotiate for better deals, after stocks tumbled last week following the announcement of stiff tariffs against nearly all of America’s trading partners.