Assuming that whoever gets the first overall pick gets Flagg, the Wizards have a 14.0% chance of taking the Duke star. They are tied with Utah and Charlotte with this probability, with New Orleans and Philadelphia not too far behind with a 12.5% and 10.5% chance, respectively.

Since the NBA flattened the draft lottery odds in 2019, the three teams with the worst records all have a 14% chance of landing the first pick. On three occasions — in 2019, 2023, and 2024 — two of the three teams with 14% odds ended up falling out of the top three entirely.

Cooper Flagg was two wins away from pulling an Anthony Davis. What's pulling an Anthony Davis, you ask? That's when the No. 1 prospect in a high school class enrolls in college and wins a national championship and national player of the year award before becoming the No.